Galton is an analytics terminal for prediction markets, built to track whale activity, market structure, and mispricing signals. Use it to monitor market error index changes, positioning shifts, and crowd behavior in real time.
Four key tools that show what the market can't see.
⚡
Market Error Index
Z-score anomaly detector across price deviation, velocity, liquidity, and order book imbalance. Scores 0 to 100 — the higher, the more likely the market is mispricing.
🐋
Whale Index
Compares top holder positioning to market price. Directional bias alerts at 3%+ divergence from consensus. Strong signals at 10%+.
📊
Whale Domination
Concentration of top 1, 5, 20, and 100 holders from 500 analyzed — separately for YES and NO. See if one wallet controls the market.
🔔
Whale Activity
Real-time feed of $10K+ trades across all markets. Entry prices, wallet addresses, and directional signals — filtered to remove bots.
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About
What is Galton?
A prediction market intelligence platform designed to help traders and researchers understand how markets price real-world events — not just the surface, but the structure beneath it.
The Idea
Galton is inspired by the work of Francis Galton and the concept of the wisdom of crowds. Prediction markets represent one of the purest real-world implementations of this idea: a large number of participants, each with different information and incentives, collectively forming a probability estimate of future events.
In theory, this process is highly efficient. In practice, markets can be influenced by large participants, structurally imbalanced, or driven by short-term flows disconnected from fundamentals. Understanding the structure of the crowd is just as important as observing its final prediction.
What We Do
Galton is a market intelligence terminal focused on market structure and participant behavior — not just price. It provides tools to analyze how probabilities evolve, how capital is distributed, how concentrated positions are, and how much influence large players have on the market.
Core Tools
Whale Index — measures how large holders are positioned within a market, comparing their capital allocation to the current price. Reveals whether large players are aligned with or diverging from market consensus.
Whale Domination — measures market concentration by calculating the share held by top participants (Top 1, 5, 20, 100) relative to the broader base. High domination signals fragility and sensitivity to large moves.
Probability Behavior — tracks how probabilities evolve over time, the speed and magnitude of changes, and patterns of market behavior under uncertainty.
Market Error Index — a long-term objective: a metric to quantify how reliable or unstable a market may be, based on concentration, behavior, and structural signals.
Our Principles
01
Data Over Opinion
We focus on measurable signals, not narratives.
02
Structure Over Surface
Understanding market structure matters more than observing price alone.
03
Transparency of the Crowd
We make participant behavior visible and analyzable.
Long-Term Vision
Galton's long-term vision is to become the intelligence layer for prediction markets. If prediction markets evolve into a core system for aggregating global beliefs and expectations, then understanding their structure becomes critical.
At its core, Galton is an attempt to bring the idea of the wisdom of crowds into a structured, data-driven framework — making the crowd measurable, market structure transparent, and probability a deeper analytical signal.
Legal
Terms of Service
Last updated: April 2026
1. Acceptance of Terms
By accessing or using Galton.io (“Platform”), you agree to be bound by these Terms of Service. If you do not agree, please do not use the Platform.
2. Description of Service
Galton.io is an informational platform that provides data, analytics, and metrics related to prediction markets. The Platform may contain links to third-party platforms (including Polymarket) where users can place bets. Galton.io does not operate, control, or take responsibility for any third-party platforms.
3. No Financial Advice
All content on Galton.io is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this Platform constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Users make their own decisions at their own risk.
4. Third-Party Links
Galton.io may contain links to third-party websites or platforms. We are not responsible for the content, terms, or practices of any third-party platforms. Using third-party platforms is at your own risk and subject to their own terms.
5. User Conduct
You agree not to:
∙ Use the Platform for any unlawful purpose
∙ Attempt to gain unauthorized access to the Platform
∙ Use automated tools to scrape or collect data from the Platform without permission
6. Intellectual Property
All content on Galton.io, including but not limited to text, graphics, and data, is the property of Galton.io and may not be reproduced without permission.
7. Disclaimer of Warranties
The Platform is provided “as is” without warranties of any kind. We do not guarantee accuracy, completeness, or availability of any content.
8. Limitation of Liability
To the maximum extent permitted by law, Galton.io shall not be liable for any indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from your use of the Platform.
9. Changes to Terms
We reserve the right to modify these Terms at any time. Continued use of the Platform after changes constitutes acceptance of the new Terms.
10. Contact
For questions regarding these Terms, please contact us at: legal.galton@gmail.com
Legal
Privacy Policy
Last updated: April 2026
1. Introduction
Galton.io (“we”, “us”, “our”) is committed to protecting your personal data. This Privacy Policy explains how we collect, use, and protect your information.
2. Data We Collect
We collect the following personal data:
∙ Email address — when you register or contact us
∙ Usage statistics — including pages visited, time spent, and interactions with the Platform
3. How We Use Your Data
We use your data to:
∙ Provide and improve our services
∙ Send important updates about the Platform
∙ Analyze usage patterns to improve user experience
∙ Comply with legal obligations
4. Legal Basis for Processing (GDPR)
If you are located in the European Economic Area (EEA), we process your data based on:
∙ Your consent
∙ Our legitimate interests in operating and improving the Platform
5. Data Sharing
We do not sell your personal data. We may share data with:
∙ Service providers who assist in operating the Platform (e.g., hosting, analytics)
∙ Authorities if required by law
6. Data Retention
We retain your data for as long as necessary to provide our services or as required by law. You may request deletion of your data at any time.
7. Your Rights (GDPR)
If you are in the EEA, you have the right to:
∙ Access your personal data
∙ Correct inaccurate data
∙ Request deletion of your data
∙ Object to processing of your data
∙ Data portability
To exercise these rights, contact us at: legal.galton@gmail.com
8. Cookies and Analytics
We may use cookies and analytics tools to understand how users interact with our Platform. You can disable cookies in your browser settings.
9. Security
We implement appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect your data against unauthorized access, loss, or destruction.
10. Changes to This Policy
We may update this Privacy Policy from time to time. We will notify users of significant changes via email or a notice on the Platform.
11. Contact
For privacy-related questions, contact us at: legal.galton@gmail.com